You are currently viewing Market Commentary & Sectoral Analysis

Market Commentary & Sectoral Analysis

Jan 27, 2024: During last week, NIfty 50 and Bank Nifty corrected and made, back-to-back RED candles on weekly charts for two consecutive weeks. Out of the two, Nifty 50 seems to be stronger as it is still quite far away from its 20 EMA whereas, Bank Nifty is closer to its 50 EMA. On the Daily Chart, it seems that Bank NIfty has completed its short-term correction and should bounce and hence take the lead for providing immediate relief to the market before the budget session.

Bank Nifty:

On weekly, Bank Nifty is within the MA Ribbon whereas, on the Daily chart, it is taking support from 200 MA

Nifty 50:

Compared to Bank Nifty, Nifty50 on the Weekly chart is still quite far from the MA ribbon whereas on the Daily Ribbon, it’s touching the lower flank.

From the Price Action analysis, it seems markets should do a relief rally after 2 weeks of back-to-back correction. Price Action also provides important Support & resistance for both the Indices as below

LevelsSupportIndicesResistanceLevels
44531S1Bank Nifty (current close: 44866)R145139
44180S2-do-R2 & R345507-45640
43289S3-do-
42619S4-do-R446580
21137S1Nifty 50 (Current Close: 21352)
21090S2-do-R121483
20979S3-do-R221582
20618S4-do-R321750

Besides the above, there are a few sectoral Indices that should continue to do well as their structure remains intact even after 2 consecutive weeks of correction in the broader markets

Sectors looking good for W/o of Jan 28, 2024Current Close
Nifty Energy35203
Nifty FMCG ( corrected a lot and should rebound)55214
Nifty Infra7656
Nifty IT36496
Nifty Pharma17532

Pls do your due diligence, before you make any investment decisions based on this article.